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Mauritius Under Threat Of A Tropical Storm At The End Of The Week

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DJOUNGOU continues to move south-eastwards, away from any inhabited land in the south-east of the basin. It lost its tropical characteristics at the end of the day. It has therefore been downgraded to a post-tropical depression (although strong winds are still associated with it, but no inhabited land is affected). It will be moving away from Mauritius

However, tropical depression n°07-20232024 continues to move eastwards and is struggling to intensify. However, with its overnight evolution, it has a good chance of becoming a moderate tropical storm during the night, and thus of being named ELEANOR.

According to the current CMRS forecast, the meteor will then pass close to Saint-Brandon on Wednesday and Mauritius at the end of the week, at a mature stage. Meteo France urges residents of the Mascarene Islands to keep a close eye on the forecast.

Here’s what Météo Maurice has to say

  1. The latest satellite images indicate that the tropical depression off the northeast coast of Madagascar was located at 10:00 am around 14.7 degrees south and 55.0 degrees east. It is moving east-northeast at 15 km/h and should intensify into a moderate tropical storm by this afternoon. It will be named ELEANOR. However, there are still uncertainties in the intensity and movement of the system.
  2. System evolution:

Numerical models expect the system to intensify further and move eastward until Tuesday 20, after which the track will turn southward, then south-southwestward. On this trajectory, it will come dangerously close to St Brandon, and is likely to cause cyclonic conditions from Tuesday evening. If it maintains this course, the system could pose a direct threat to Mauritius from Thursday 22nd. There is a high probability of cyclonic conditions over Mauritius on Thursday 22nd and Friday 23rd.

  1. Forecast for Tuesday February 20 to Friday February 23, 2024

Saint-Brandon: Light showers at times, becoming heavy and stormy from Tuesday 20.

Gusts of 150km/h to 180 km/h are expected from Tuesday evening. Seas will be very rough to phenomenal, with wave heights of 8 to 10 metres. Storm tides may affect islets.

Mauritius: Light showers, likely to become more frequent on Wednesday night (21). Showers are likely to become heavy and stormy from Thursday 22. Expected gusts could exceed 120 km/h.  High seas will also be very strong to phenomenal, with wave heights of 8 to 10 metres. Storm tides are likely to submerge low-lying coastal areas.

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