The second low-pressure system of the year, which should be named “Belal” once it reaches the stage of a tropical storm, presents a high risk of intensification, according to Météo France Réunion’s forecast published this Thursday, January 11, 2024. The system is currently located just over 1000 km northeast of Mauritius, moving at a speed of 11 km/h.
According to Météo France Réunion, environmental conditions in the area where the future Belal is located are very favorable, which could lead to its intensification into a tropical cyclone, or even stronger as it approaches the Mascarene Islands. Track forecasts suggest that the system could approach the islands of Reunion and Mauritius this weekend, with a close passage scheduled for Monday.
However, with a margin of error of over 3 days, the situation needs to be closely monitored to confirm these forecasts.
In Mauritius, the Vacoas weather station is forecasting a deterioration in the weather from this weekend onwards, with moderate to heavy showers, sometimes accompanied by thunderstorms. Stronger winds are also expected on Saturday and Sunday, along with heavy swells. These weather conditions are expected to persist until next Wednesday.
The National Emergency Operations Command (NEOC) has taken all necessary measures in anticipation of a possible cyclone alert in the country. “The authorities remain vigilant and are ready to intervene in any situation,” said Pravind Rugoo, NEOC’s communications officer. Cyclone season: potential formation of a tropical storm this weekend.
