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Friday, March 29, 2024

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Horse Racing (Meeting 17): Twist Of Fate Can Bounce Back

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Twist Of Fate will be the horse to beat in the main event of next Saturday at the Champ-de-mars racecourse. He will have to overcome the disadvantage of carrying a heavy handicap compared to his main opponents.

Twist Of Fate is the classy horse of the field. He won The Duchess Of York Cup (1400m – G2), and ‘La Coupe des Présidents’ (2100m – G2) in 2021. The Vincent Allet-trained horse has never been outclassed in classic races with a second and a third place in the Barbé (1600m – G1) and finishing third in the Maiden Cup (2400m – G1) and the Gold Cup (1600m – G1).

Twist Of Fate didn’t have an easy race on June 6, and he fought hard to take a good third place 1.69L behind Frosted Gold. He has already been beaten by Crank It Up on the 6th race meeting, but he could have done better if he was more wisely ridden on that day. Twist Of Fate will carry the heavy handicap of 61 kg, and this will be the big and only disadvantage for him.

The main danger will come from Crank It Up. He won over 1500m and 1600m this season. He can race handy, or run from further back before coming to the finish. He is in excellent physical condition, and he will be right there at the finish.

Consul Of War is in a good form and he will try his luck against the best horses. He won his last two races over 1650m and 1850m easily. He will take full advantage of his lightweight to try a win a main race. Absolutist won only once over 1650m in Mauritius last year in B41. He did well in the last two rounds of the 4-years-old championship, finishing second behind The Gatekeeper. He seems to be in a better shape this season and he will be a danger if he is allowed to race freely in front.

Sélection: Twist Of Fate – Crank It Up – Consul Of War – Absolutist

Tips

Race 1 – (0-26) – 1400m

Partner In Crime – Xanthus – Yoho Mist – Jacalac

Race 2 – (0-20) – 1850m

Celestial Magma – Supreme Elevation – Bypass – Sir Capers

Race 3 – (0-25) – 990m

Illicit Kiss – Mezuzah – Dunzie – Rain Must Fall

Race 4 – B46 – 1850m

Arlingtons Revenge – High Key – Moschino – Canary Island

Race 5 – B41 – 990m

Gilboa – Go Jewel – Ninotto – Good Buddy

Race 6 – B36 – 1450m

Camp David – Copenhagen – Crazy Charlie – Manetheren

Race 7 – (50+) – 1850m

Twist Of Fate – Crank It Up – Consul Of War – Absolutist

Race 8 – B36 – 1450m

Lock Down – Massimo – Free To Win – Moroccan Retreat

Race 9 – (B51) – 1365m

Donnan – Footy Goal – Creation – Lickerio

Tips

  • Bankers : Illicit Kiss – Lock Down
  • Value Bets : Arlingtons Revenge – Twist Of Fate – Xanthus
  • Outsiders: Camp David – Creation

Twist Of Fate last trackwork

Twist Of Fate last win

Crank It Up last trackwork

Crank It Up last win

Consul Of War last trackwork

Consul Of War last win

Absolutist last trackwork

Absolutist last win

Horses weights:

Horse Weights - Meeting 17

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